Abstract
Three-point bending fatigue experiments were conducted on a typical Zr-based bulk metallic glass (BMG) at ambient temperature to investigate the fatigue behavior under cyclic loading conditions. Results show that the stress amplitude-cycles to failure (S-N) curve of the Zr-based BMG is determined, and the fatigue endurance limit is 442 MPa (stress amplitude). To evaluate the probability-stress amplitude-cycles to failure (P-S-N) curve, an estimation method based on maximum likelihood was proposed, which relies on statistical principles to estimate the fatigue life of the material and allows for a reduction in the number of samples required, offering a cost-effective and efficient alternative to traditional testing methods. The experimental results align with the American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) standard, indicating the reliability and accuracy of this estimation method in evaluating the fatigue behavior of Zr-based BMG.
Bulk metallic glasses (BMGs) have been considered as candidate materials for the structural applications due to their special mechanical propertie
In this study, comprehensive fatigue experiments were conducted on the Zr40Ti25Cu8Be27 BM
The Zr40Ti25Cu8Be27 BMG plates (2 mm×10 mm×70 mm) were developed with glass transition temperature Tg=578 K and wide supercooled liquid region ΔT=129 K, as reported in Ref.[
The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method is a commonly used parameter estimation method in statistic

Fig.1 S-N curve of the Zr40Ti25Cu8Be27 BMG obtained through three-point bending test at room temperature
A group of specimens were tested under the reference stress σr, which is chosen in the range of 1
(1) |
where Ap, mp and σ0p are material constants and Np is the life with survival probability of p. For p=0.5, the following equation is proposed:
(2) |
where represents the mean of logarithm of fatigue life at stress level σ. Assuming that the fatigue life is normally distributed, lgNp can be calculated by
(3) |
where is the standard deviation of the lgNp under stress level σ; μp is the standard normal deviate with survival probability p. μp can be determined as the normal distribution when p is given. Combining Eq.(
(4) |
Considering the reference case and assuming ,
(5) |
(6) |
Combining
(7) |
(8) |
For the normal distribution, when p=0.841 and =1.0, replace the subscript p by 1.
(9) |
Assuming that the fatigue life under any stress level is normally distributed, the probability density function of the fatigue life can be expressed as:
(10) |
The likelihood function with n independent events can be written as:
(11) |
Taking the natural logarithms of the both sides of
(12) |
Substituting
The stress-life fatigue data (S-N) of the Zr40Ti25Cu8Be27 metallic glass under three-point bending at ambient temperature is shown in

Fig.2 SEM micrographs of the fatigue morphologies of BMG at a stress amplitude of σa=640.52 MPa after 8400 cycles: (a) entire fatigue fractography including fatigue crack initiation site (zone I), stable fatigue crack growth (zone II) and fast fracture (zone III); (b) tension and compression regions; (c) close-up view of zone II; (d) accumulated deformation from the side perspective
For the purpose of comparison between the developed ML method and direct method from American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM
σa/MPa | Test number | Nf/cycles | lgNf | Mean | Standard deviation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
729 | 2 | 3 100 | 3.49 | 3.44 | 0.07 |
2 460 | 3.39 | ||||
683.5 | 5 | 6 700 | 3.83 | 3.64 | 0.15 |
2700 | 3.43 | ||||
4 600 | 3.66 | ||||
5 300 | 3.72 | ||||
3 800 | 3.58 | ||||
640.5 | 4 | 4 500 | 3.65 | 3.90 | 0.17 |
9 300 | 3.97 | ||||
8 400 | 3.92 | ||||
11 000 | 4.04 | ||||
598.2 | 6 | 9 800 | 3.99 | 4.17 | 0.22 |
9 000 | 3.95 | ||||
36 000 | 4.56 | ||||
19 000 | 4.28 | ||||
15 000 | 4.18 | ||||
12 000 | 4.08 | ||||
540.2 | 4 | 49 800 | 4.70 | 4.62 | 0.14 |
53 600 | 4.73 | ||||
42 000 | 4.62 | ||||
26 800 | 4.43 | ||||
510.6 | 3 | 107 000 | 5.03 | 4.97 | 0.06 |
89 600 | 4.95 | ||||
80 000 | 4.90 | ||||
463.8 | 2 |
2.787×1 | 6.45 | 6.72 | 0.39 |
1 | 7 | ||||
421.4 | 1 |
1 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
σa/MPa | Test number | Cycles to failure | Logarithm of fatigue life |
---|---|---|---|
729 | 1 | 2 460 | 3.39 |
683.5 | 1 | 6 700 | 3.83 |
640.5 | 1 | 4 500 | 3.65 |
598.2 (σr) | 6 | 9 800 | 3.99 |
9 000 | 3.95 | ||
36 000 | 4.56 | ||
19 000 | 4.28 | ||
15 000 | 4.18 | ||
12 000 | 4.08 | ||
540.2 | 1 | 49 800 | 4.70 |
510.6 | 1 | 107 000 | 5.03 |
P-S-N curves can be obtained directly from the test results in
(13) |
where a and b are materials constants. Linearly fit
(14) |
(15) |
Because the logarithm of fatigue life obeys a normal distribution:
(16) |
The standard deviation of the fatigue life with the stress amplitude can be determined by Eq.(14–16).
As described in the previous section, in
(17) |
(18) |
The mean and standard deviation of the fatigue life can be determined from
Corresponding the two statistical methods and experimental results,
σa/MPa | Test results | ASTM | Error for ASTM/% | MLE | Error for MLE/% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
729 | 3.44 | 3.41 | -0.89 | 3.39 | -1.46 |
683.5 | 3.64 | 3.66 | 0.53 | 3.62 | -0.77 |
640.5 | 3.90 | 3.92 | 0.57 | 3.87 | -0.71 |
598.2 | 4.17 | 4.19 | 0.36 | 4.17 |
-5.2×1 |
540.2 | 4.62 | 4.59 | -0.67 | 4.74 | 2.58 |
510.6 | 4.97 | 4.81 | -3.05 | 5.15 | 3.83 |
σa/MPa | Test results | ASTM | Error for ASTM/% | MLE | Error for MLE/% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
729 | 3.37 | 3.27 | -3.10 | 3.39 | 0.62 |
683.5 | 3.49 | 3.52 | 0.77 | 3.54 | 1.50 |
640.5 | 3.73 | 3.78 | 1.44 | 3.73 |
2.4×1 |
598.2 | 3.95 | 4.05 | 2.60 | 3.95 |
3.0×1 |
540.2 | 4.48 | 4.46 | -0.56 | 4.39 | -1.98 |
510.6 | 4.89 | 4.68 | -4.36 | 4.76 | -2.82 |

Fig.3 Comparison of P-S-N curves determined by the ASTM and developed ML methods under survival probability p=0.50 (the red star marks the experimental data for verification)

Fig.4 Comparison of P-S-N curves obtained by the ASTM method and the developed ML method under survival probability of p=0.841 (the red star marks the experimental data for verification)
and applicatio
In practical scenarios, constrained by experimental conditions and time, it is often limited to small sample sizes for fatigue test data, posing significant challenges for accurate fatigue life prediction. To address this problem, statistical methods such as MLE are integrated into this fatigue life prediction framework. MLE is a powerful technique that leverages sample data to estimate model parameters by maximizing the likelihood function. In the context of fatigue life prediction, MLE is used to estimate the parameters of the fatigue life distribution, enabling the establishment of the relationship between reliability and lifespan at a given stress level. Specifically, a likelihood function is constructed based on the small sample fatigue test data. Through steps such as logarithmization and derivation, the parameter values are identified as the ones that maximize the likelihood function. These parameter values not only reflect the distribution characteristics of fatigue life but also provide a basis for plotting fatigue life curves.
The significance of small sample fatigue life prediction lies in its ability to deliver relatively accurate predictions with limited experimental data. This is crucial for guiding the design, optimization and maintenance of mechanical components. Additionally, this approach reduces experimental and time costs and enhances efficiency. The advantages of MLE are particularly noteworthy in this study. By leveraging the ML principle, it enables us to extract meaningful information from even small datasets, providing robust and reliable parameter estimates. This, in turn, enhances the accuracy and precision of fatigue life predictions, which are crucial for making informed decisions in mechanical engineering applications.
Moreover, it should be mentioned that the ASTM method requires at least 27 specimens, whereas the ML approach only utilizes 11 specimens. This significant reduction in the number of specimens required for the ML method results in considerable experimental cost savings. It is essential to point out that the proposed ML method assumes that the statistical nature of fatigue life data remains consistent across various stress levels in the experiments. Therefore, further validation is essential for different failure modes and various statistical distributions to ensure the generality of the method. In conclusion, this study demonstrates the potential of MLE method for efficiently predicting the fatigue behavior of Zr-based BMG. The developed method offers a cost-effective and accurate alternative to traditional testing methods, such as the ASTM standard. However, further research is required to validate the method across different materials and failure modes, as well as to investigate its application in other material systems.
1) With the help of the experimental and statistical technique, the fatigue behavior of Zr40Ti25Cu8Be27 BMG is investigated. The fatigue endurance limit of this BMG is determined to be impressive 442 MPa. The fatigue morphology features signatures of accumulated plastic deformation, fatigue striation, fatigue crack initiation, propagation and ultimately fast fracture.
2) ML method is introduced to analyze the fatigue behavior. This method utilizes statistical techniques to predict the P-S-N curve, which represents the relationship between stress, cycle number and failure probability. The prediction of the ML method is in good agreement with the experimental data. A significant advantage of this approach is the reduced number of specimens required, offering a more efficient and cost-effective alternative to the standard ASTM method.
3) The current work contributes to an understanding of the fatigue behavior of BMGs, especially the potential of ML methods in predicting material behavior under cyclic loading conditions.
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